Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000146 0.000162 0.000179 0.000198 0.000220 0.000243 0.000271
2025-08-10 0.000115 0.000137 0.000162 0.000194 0.000234 0.000280 0.000340
2025-08-17 0.000097 0.000122 0.000152 0.000193 0.000246 0.000314 0.000407
2025-08-24 0.000083 0.000109 0.000143 0.000190 0.000255 0.000341 0.000467
2025-08-31 0.000072 0.000098 0.000133 0.000184 0.000256 0.000358 0.000515
2025-09-07 0.000066 0.000092 0.000129 0.000184 0.000267 0.000388 0.000583
2025-09-14 0.000061 0.000088 0.000127 0.000187 0.000281 0.000424 0.000665
2025-09-21 0.000055 0.000082 0.000121 0.000184 0.000285 0.000444 0.000722
2025-09-28 0.000050 0.000075 0.000113 0.000177 0.000282 0.000453 0.000762
2025-10-05 0.000047 0.000072 0.000112 0.000179 0.000294 0.000487 0.000849
2025-10-12 0.000045 0.000071 0.000112 0.000183 0.000309 0.000528 0.000955
2025-10-19 0.000042 0.000067 0.000108 0.000181 0.000313 0.000550 0.001025
2025-10-26 0.000039 0.000064 0.000106 0.000183 0.000326 0.000589 0.001138
2025-11-02 0.000036 0.000061 0.000102 0.000181 0.000329 0.000613 0.001227
2025-11-09 0.000034 0.000058 0.000100 0.000180 0.000336 0.000644 0.001332
2025-11-16 0.000032 0.000055 0.000096 0.000177 0.000339 0.000666 0.001423
2025-11-23 0.000029 0.000051 0.000091 0.000171 0.000335 0.000675 0.001484
2025-11-30 0.000028 0.000049 0.000089 0.000171 0.000343 0.000710 0.001614
2025-12-07 0.000027 0.000048 0.000089 0.000174 0.000358 0.000761 0.001787
2025-12-14 0.000025 0.000046 0.000086 0.000171 0.000359 0.000780 0.001887
2025-12-21 0.000023 0.000043 0.000081 0.000164 0.000352 0.000781 0.001939
2025-12-28 0.000022 0.000042 0.000081 0.000167 0.000364 0.000830 0.002125
2026-01-04 0.000021 0.000041 0.000081 0.000171 0.000381 0.000892 0.002358